"In your opinion, do you feel this perpetrator may have been involved in Joshua's disappearance, and ... might this person still be in the general vicinity?" Gosh, that a tough one. The person of interest in Jacob's disappearance was thought to be about 50-55 years of age in 1989. That would have made him approximately 63-68 years of age at the time of Josh's disappearance, which is fairly old for a violent sex offender. Are there any known sex offenders in this age range in the area? I don't know whether such a person would still be around, but it's more likely than the alternative: that ANOTHER violent sex offender who CONCEALS his MALE victims recently moved into the area. Based on my analysis of Federal estimates, there are fewer than five unapprehended offenders of this description in the entire United States. What's the chances that 40% of them would operate in Lake Wobegon?
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